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NexPoint Capital, Inc. (NXPT)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • NAV per share increased to $5.58 as of December 31, 2024 (vs. $5.44 at 9/30 and $5.20 at 6/30), while the Board declared a $0.09/share Q4 distribution payable January 29, 2025 to holders of record December 31, 2024 .
  • Portfolio fair value fell to $44.5M at year-end from $49.4M at 9/30 on net sales/redemptions of $12.3M for the year (vs. $5.64M purchases), and a smaller portfolio footprint (26 positions vs. 29 at 9/30) .
  • Mix shifted toward common stocks (37.7% of investments) and away from first-lien loans (14.2%), while the estimated gross annual portfolio yield rose to 2.45% (from 2.20% at 9/30), reflecting valuation/mix changes through year-end .
  • The company continued quarterly share tenders (175,103 shares repurchased in Q4), and maintained its $0.09 quarterly dividend cadence; S&P Global EPS/revenue estimates were unavailable for NXPT .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • NAV per share increased into year-end: “As of December 31, 2024, the net asset value per share … was determined to be $5.58” (vs. $5.44 at 9/30) .
  • Estimated gross annual portfolio yield edged higher to 2.45% at 12/31 from 2.20% at 9/30, aided by portfolio rebalancing and fair-value marks through Q4 .
  • Distribution policy consistency and visibility: “The Board declared a cash distribution of $0.09 per share … payable on January 29, 2025, to stockholders of record on December 31, 2024,” sustaining the quarterly $0.09 pattern .

What Went Wrong

  • Portfolio size and breadth declined: Fair value decreased to $44.5M with positions reduced to 26 at 12/31 (from $49.4M and 29 at 9/30), reflecting net redemptions/sales outpacing purchases .
  • Mix shift away from first-lien senior loans: First-lien loans fell to 14.2% of investments (from 21.7% at 9/30), increasing reliance on equity holdings and potentially raising volatility .
  • Limited transparency on quarterly earnings: The Q4 8-K provided distributions/NAV, but did not disclose Q4 net investment income or EPS; no earnings call transcript was filed .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
NAV per Share ($)$5.20 $5.44 $5.58 (as of 12/31/24)
Portfolio Fair Value ($M)$45.13 $49.43 $44.50
Number of Investments28 29 26
Estimated Gross Portfolio Yield (%)1.89% 2.20% 2.45%
EPS (GAAP)$(0.01) $0.34 N/A
Dividend per Share ($)$0.09 $0.09 $0.09 (declared for 12/31 record date)
Shares Repurchased (units)208,163 156,349 175,103

Segment asset mix (% of investments, at fair value)

Asset ClassQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Senior Secured Loans – First Lien15.8% 21.7% 14.2%
Senior Secured Loans – Second/Third Lien0.6% (2nd) 0.9% (3rd) 1.4% (3rd)
Corporate Bonds4.8% 3.3% 0.5%
Common Stocks30.0% 26.2% 37.7%
Preferred Stocks25.5% 24.7% 25.8%
LLC Interests24.0% 23.2% 20.4%

Selected portfolio KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Variable Rate (% of FV)1% 1% N/A
Weighted Avg Cost Price (% of par)88.91% 91.57% 90.29%
Fixed Income on Non-Accrual (% of FV)9.8% 7.1% N/A

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash Dividend per ShareOngoing$0.09 quarterly cadence $0.09 declared for Q4 record date (paid 1/29/25) Maintained
DRP/NAV DeterminationsNov–Dec 2024$5.48 NAV for DRP (11/22) $5.56 (11/30) ; $5.49 (12/17) ; $5.58 (12/31) Sequential updates

No formal revenue/EPS/expense guidance was issued in filings reviewed.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript found for NXPT. The analysis below reflects themes implied by filings:

  • Portfolio mix: Shift toward common equity (37.7% at YE) and lower exposure to first-lien loans (14.2%) vs Q3 .
  • Yield trend: Estimated gross annual portfolio yield increased to 2.45% from 2.20% at Q3, following year-end valuation/mix effects .
  • Expense management: Expense Limitation Agreement remains in place through at least April 30, 2025 .

Management Commentary

  • “As of December 31, 2024, the net asset value per share … was determined to be $5.58 per share….”
  • “The board … declared a cash distribution of $0.09 per share … payable on January 29, 2025, to the stockholders of record on December 31, 2024.”
  • “The Expense Limitation Agreement will continue through at least April 30, 2025.”
  • “The dividends are expected to be declared in the amount of $0.09 per share … to the stockholders of record at each quarter end.”
  • “Securities with a total aggregate value of $40,374,729 or 84.0% of net assets were fair valued … as of September 30, 2024.”

Q&A Highlights

No earnings call transcript was filed; no management Q&A to summarize.

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus revenue/EPS estimates (S&P Global) were unavailable for NXPT due to missing mapping in the S&P Global dataset. As a result, no estimate comparisons can be provided.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • NAV per share increased into year-end to $5.58; the company maintained its quarterly $0.09 dividend, reinforcing income stability for holders of record at 12/31/24 .
  • Portfolio fair value declined to $44.5M and positions decreased to 26, reflecting net sales/redemptions outpacing purchases in 2024; watch for continued portfolio rationalization and its impact on future income and volatility .
  • Mix shift toward common equities (37.7%) and lower first-lien exposure (14.2%) may boost upside but can increase mark-to-market variability; estimated gross yield rose to 2.45% as of 12/31 .
  • Continued quarterly tender activity (175,103 shares repurchased in Q4) and fewer shares outstanding can be supportive of NAV per share over time, subject to repurchase pricing and portfolio marks .
  • High proportion of Level 3/fair-valued assets underscores the importance of valuation inputs and independent reviews in driving reported NAV .
  • No Q4 call or detailed quarterly P&L disclosure; consider tracking upcoming 10-Q/10-K updates and 8-K NAV/DRP determinations for timely signals on portfolio trajectory .
  • Expense Limitation Agreement in place through at least April 30, 2025 provides near-term guardrails on “Other Expenses” and supports net income retention .

Appendix: Prior-Quarter Trend References

  • Q3 2024 results included EPS of $0.34 primarily from unrealized gains, with NAV/share of $5.44 and portfolio FV of $49.4M .
  • Q2 2024 EPS was $(0.01), NAV/share $5.20, FV $45.1M; distributions remained $0.09/share .